Last year, Microsoft launched a new website bing.com/awards to cover latest news from the awards season.Bing.com/Awards has been refreshed with updated Bing search trends as well as exclusive data pulled from the Oscar nominees themselves during The Hollywood Reporter’s annual Oscar Nominees Night event. Bing even polled the nominees using the Bing Ballot on the red carpet and found out who will take home statues in the top categories including Best Movie, Best Actor and Best Actress.
When it came to the stars’ pick for Best Picture, “Wolf of Wall Street” narrowly edged out “Gravity” capturing 21 percent of the votes, while the sci-fi thriller received 15 percent. When Oscar nominees were asked who they thought would take home the statuette for Best Actor, 47 percent of them chose Leonardo DiCaprio, followed by Christian Bale with 21 percent. And Bing users agree – according to Bing searches for Best Actor, Leo is the favorite capturing 50 percent of the searches for his leading role.
So, what do his data indicate? You can see all the latest probabilities at PredictWise—and yes, he doesn’t just pick winners, he assigns them percentages of likely success—but to pique your interest, here are a few:
- Best Director: Alfonso Cuarón (Gravity), 98 percent.
- Best Leading Actor: Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club), 90 percent.
- Best Supporting Actress: Lupita Nyongo (12 Years a Slave), 62 percent.
Those of you itching to learn whom Rothschild is predicting to win best costume design or best sound mixing will just have to visit PredictWise. (I’m predicting that 83 percent of you will.) But Rothschild notes that the only major category that remains a barnburner is Best Original Screenplay, in which he calculates that Her leads American Hustle, 50 percent to 44 percent.
Read about it here.