David Rothschild, an economist from Microsoft Research New York City predicted the winners of the Oscars in 2013 using various data available on the web. He was accurate with his prediction in 19 of the 24 Academy Awards categories. For Oscars 2014, he posted his predictions for 24 categories weeks back. The Oscars 2014 event just got over and what about his accuracy of prediction this year? He correctly predicted 21 out of 24 categories which is a great improvement over last year. The three categories which he got wrong were Best Animated Short Film, Best Documentary Feature and Best Live Action Short Film. I guess the lack of enough data is one of the reason behind the above three errors. David commented the following on the results, There are two ways to judge accuracy. First, and most obvious, you want a small error. Correctly predicting 21 out of 24 ...

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Last year, Microsoft launched a new website bing.com/awards to cover latest news from the awards season.Bing.com/Awards has been refreshed with updated Bing search trends as well as exclusive data pulled from the Oscar nominees themselves during The Hollywood Reporter’s annual Oscar Nominees Night event. Bing even polled the nominees using the Bing Ballot on the red carpet and found out who will take home statues in the top categories including Best Movie, Best Actor and Best Actress. When it came to the stars’ pick for Best Picture, “Wolf of Wall Street” narrowly edged out “Gravity” capturing 21 percent of the votes, while the sci-fi thriller received 15 percent. When Oscar nominees were asked who they thought would take home the statuette for Best Actor, 47 percent of them chose Leonardo DiCaprio, followed by Christian Bale with 21 percent. And Bing users agree – according to Bing searches for Best Actor, Leo ...

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